MetaClass, a comprehensive classification system for predicting the occurrence of metabolic reactions based on the MetaQSAR database

(1) Background: Machine learning algorithms are finding fruitful applications in predicting the ADME profile of new molecules, with a particular focus on metabolism predictions. How-ever, the development of comprehensive metabolism predictors is hampered by the lack of highly accurate metabolic resources. Hence, we recently proposed a manually curated metabolic database (MetaQSAR), the level of accuracy of which is well suited to the development of predictive models. (2) Methods: MetaQSAR was used to extract datasets to predict the metabolic reactions subdivided into major classes, classes and subclasses. The collected datasets comprised a total of 3788 first-gen-eration metabolic reactions. Predictive models were developed by using standard random forest algorithms and sets of physicochemical, stereo-electronic and constitutional descriptors. (3) Results: The developed models showed satisfactory performance, especially for hydrolyses and conjuga-tions, while redox reactions were predicted with greater difficulty, which was reasonable as they depend on many complex features that are not properly encoded by the included descriptors. (4) Conclusions: The generated models allowed a precise comparison of the propensity of each metabolic reaction to be predicted and the factors affecting their predictability were discussed in detail. Overall, the study led to the development of a freely downloadable global predictor, MetaClass, which correctly predicts 80% of the reported reactions, as assessed by an explorative validation analysis on an external dataset, with an overall MCC = 0.44.