Modelling ripple effect propagation and global supply chain workforce productivity impacts in pandemic disruptions
Articolo
Data di Pubblicazione:
2023
Citazione:
Modelling ripple effect propagation and global supply chain workforce productivity impacts in pandemic disruptions / X. Brusset, M. Davari, A. Kinra, D. LA TORRE. - In: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION RESEARCH. - ISSN 0020-7543. - 61:8(2023), pp. 2493-2512. [10.1080/00207543.2022.2126021]
Abstract:
An increasing number of disruptions in ports, plants and warehouses have generated ripple effects
over supply networks impacting economic activity. We demonstrate how the spread of the pan-
demic geographically expands the ripple effect by reducing the workers’ participation in production,
so undermining the ability of firms and, as a result, the entire cross-border sup- ply chain network
to satisfy customers’ demands. Our model of the spatio-temporal dynamics of the propagation of
Covid-19 infection for supply networks contributes toward ripple effect visualisation and quantifi-
cation by combining the flow of goods and materials through a typical global supply chain with
an epidemiological model. The model enables prospective analyses to be performed in what-if sce-
narios to simulate the impact on the workforce in each node. The outcome should be helpful tools
for managers and scholars. Results from this research will help mitigate the impact and spread of a
pandemic in a particular region and the ability of a supply network to overcome the ripple effect. A
stylised case study of a cross-border supply chain illustrates the ripple effect by showing how waves
with crests at varying dates impact the ability to serve demand showing how a supply chain manager
can obtain a forward-looking picture.
Tipologia IRIS:
01 - Articolo su periodico
Keywords:
Spatial dynamics; ripple effect; propagation; disruption; global supply chain
Elenco autori:
X. Brusset, M. Davari, A. Kinra, D. LA TORRE
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